World Organisation of Systems and Cybernetics” (WOSC) in Rome, Italy, 2017

World Organisation of Systems and Cybernetics” (WOSC) in Rome, Italy, 2017

Some news you may find interesting.  The “World Organisation of Systems and Cybernetics” (WOSC)” to be held in Rome, Italy, Jan 25th – 27th 2017, has a theme and track regarding System Dynamics:  “Think outside the box with Systems Dynamics“. The call for abstracts can be found here.


Networking Event – The Cumberland Initiative – London Wednesday 6 July 2016

THEME : The Cumberland Initiative, modelling and simulation in healthcare, and System Dynamics

VENUE:  Royal College of Nursing, Cavendish Square, LONDON

DATE:     Wednesday 6 July 2016

TIME:      16.15 – 18.00

 

The Cumberland Initiative is a unique collaboration between academics, modelling and simulation practitioners, and the healthcare sector in the UK, led by Professor Terry Young of Brunel University as:

“a movement to encourage systems thinking, simulation and modelling of healthcare scenarios to improve NHS quality of care delivery and save money.”

http://cumberland-initiative.org/

This networking event will include some input from Terry Young about the aims of the Cumberland Initiative followed by a discussion of how System Dynamic modelling and simulation can contribute to this agenda.

Admission is free, but you must register (on Eventbrite, see below) so that we know how many people to expect; and please remember to de-register should your plans change.

Tea and coffee will be available from 4.15, and we will start at 4.30, finishing no later than 6.00, when we will adjourn to a nearby bar for refreshments and food (at participants’ own expense!).

This event is for members of the SD society and anyone else interested in system dynamics or healthcare strategy.

https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/uk-system-dynamics-networking-with-the-cumberland-initiative-tickets-1129176397

 

 

 


A call for papers for a special issue on System Dynamics

A call for papers for a special issue on System Dynamics has been posted in Journal of Simulation.

Here is the link to the word document

http://www.palgrave-journals.com/jos/Special_Issue_for_Journal_of_Simulation_jm.docx

and to the journal website http://www.palgrave-journals.com/jos/index.html


2016 Student Prize

Oluwasegun Aluko (University of Leeds)

The winner of the student prize was Oluwasegun Aluko from the University of Leeds for his paper “A Model for the Evaluation of Transport Safety Policies in Commercial Motorcycle Operation in Nigeria”.

2016 Student Prize

There were five full paper entries for the student prize, covering a range of system dynamics applications in business, the environment and the housing market. The papers were assessed on four criteria: dynamic problem formulation, justified use of the system dynamics methodology, model results and implementation, and contribution to knowledge. All entrants gave presentations of their work to the UK System Dynamics Chapter Annual Conference and received feedback from the judging panel with a view to publishing their work.

Three features of Oluwasegun Aluko’s work stood out. Firstly, the range of policy changes that gave insight into how the driver behaviour could be improved. Secondly, the data extraction methods used. Semi-structured interviews with drivers were used in model construction and calibration. Thirdly, the potential transferability of the model to other forms of commercial taxi services across many developing countries where the operational issues are similar.

Although Oluwasegun could not be there to receive the prize, it was received on his behalf by his PhD supervisor, Dr Astrid Güehnemann, who also presented his work to the chapter conference. The policy council send their congratulations to Oluwasegun, and wish him the best in his future career.

A copy of his presentation is available from http://systemdynamics.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016-Day2-Aluko-Presentation.pdf


2016 Geoff Coyle Medal Winner

Chris Spencer (Strategy Dynamics)

Chris Spencer has been awarded the 2016 Geoff Coyle Medal for his work in developing the Sysdea System Dynamics software, which makes System Dynamics modelling properly accessible to practically anyone.

Coyle Prize 2016

Simon Shepherd (Left), the UK Chapter President, presenting the Geoff Coyle Medal to Chris Spencer (Right)

Chris’ browser-based approach brings System Dynamics modelling squarely into the 21st century and exploits all the benefits of the Cloud.  Chris has also clearly put much thought into ease-of-use and demystification of preceding approaches, not only to modelling but also to the practicalities of System Dynamics.  In a nutshell, he has created a simulation package that is easy to understand.  Because it is shareable and browser-based, there is nothing to install and there is no barrier to looking at, running and understanding models by people with no training in System Dynamics or System Dynamics software. Novices can open the web app and create working models with much more efficiency than ever before.

There are two outstanding features of the Sysdea software that justify the award of the Geoff Coyle prize to Chris Spencer. First, the speed with which models can be created. The design concept makes model building fast and easy. Second, the ease of sharing the models, either finished for review or in co-creation.  This is a great benefit in teaching, as well as for practical business applications and even scientific use.  Chris Spencer is highly deserving of the prize and the policy council have no doubt that Geoff Coyle, once recovered from the shock of how easy Sysdea makes System Dynamics, would agree wholeheartedly.

The Sysdea software, for which Chris has been awarded the Geoff Coyle Medal, can be found at www.sysdea.com. In addition the Sysdea User Guide can be downloaded from www.sdl.re/sysdeaguidePDF, and there are more resources at http://resources.sysdea.com. A copy of the presentation Chris gave at the conference is available from http://systemdynamics.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016-Day1-Spencer-Presentation.pdf.


European Commission Technical Report Published

European Commission Technical Report

You may like to take a look at a new technical report that has just been published by the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission entitled “Powertrain Technology Transition Market Agent Model (PTTMAM): An Introduction“.

“This JRC Technical Report provides an introduction to the JRC system dynamics based Powertrain Technology Transition Market Agent Model (PTTMAM). This comprehensive system dynamics model, covering the period 1995 to 2050, was designed to capture the key feedbacks and interactions between manufacturers, authorities, infrastructure providers and users across the 28 EU member states and 16 powertrain options available in the light duty vehicle market.”


2016 Conference open for bookings

Each year the chapter organises the Annual Conference, a series of presentations from eminent practitioners and the opportunity to meet and discuss issues.  2016 will be the 18th annual conference.

Booking details are at the link below.  Please note that this year, booking will close a week before the event (April 7th) with no exception as we need to provide full names to Shard security at this time.  Please also remember to bring a form of ID.

Conference details

Conference booking


Developing Mathematical Models in Healthcare: Special Workshop on System Dynamics

Developing Mathematical Models in Healthcare: Special Workshop on System Dynamics

The UK Chapter is delighted to be supporting a seminar on the application of System Dynamics to challenges in the health and social care sector. The Health Modelling Centre Cymru (HMC2) is hosting the event, which will include the following presentations:

“What is System Dynamics?” – John Hayward, University of South Wales

“Health and social care workforce modelling at a national level” – Siôn Cave, Decision Analysis Services Ltd

“Health & Social Care Integration with the Cumberland Initiative” – Douglas McKelvie, The Symmetric Partnership LLP

The seminar is being held on Wednesday, 27th January 2016 at the Cardiff University School of Mathematics. This is our first event in Wales and is open to all with an interest in System Dynamics. More information available here.

We look forward to seeing you there!


UK Chapter Gathering at the Shard, December 17th

Venue
East Lecture Room, The Shard from 15:45 to 17:00 on Thursday 17th December

Douglas McKelvie
Partner
The Symmetric Partnership LLP

Using System Dynamics to Model Health and Social Care Integration Policy Based on Risk Stratification Tools

Risk Stratification tools are widely used in healthcare internationally to summarise the needs of a population and target services / interventions, often with a preventive intention, such as to reduce emergency hospital bed-use. In this example, a local authority, working with NHS partners, used modelling to explore why a case-management service based on a commonly-used tool (Patients at Risk of Rehospitalisation – PARR) appeared to have a disappointing impact. Whilst risk stratification can be viewed as an application of Big Data, focusing on Stock measurements, the insights added by System Dynamics showed the importance of understanding Flow, in the form of the underlying churn of people between risk groups. Within the context of policy-modelling, this approach can be considered to be an application of Dynamic Impact Analysis.

Followed by information about the 2016 conference.

And some regulations:

Everybody has to be registered beforehand as the reception in the ground level needs to have a list of attendees at least two days before the event. There is no chance that somebody can enter if he/she just comes without being in the list.

There will be an X-Ray machine in the ground floor reception and all visitors will need to have their coats and bags scanned.

It is important that all guests bring some form of ID.

It is important to register your attendance by clicking here by December 14th.

We will then meet in a pub nearby for a Xmas drink from around 17:00 until around 18:30.


Km Waren’s Keynote talk at Young OR 19

“Recorded at YOR19 conference, Aston UK, September 2015, this demonstrates a simple start to the AgileSD process for a policing case, using the Sysdea browser-based software. The video then explains the process and its advantages of speed, impact and reliability.”

Link


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