SD & Healthcare Network Event with Guest Speakers

SD & Healthcare Network Event with Guest Speakers

Date & Time: Tue. 13th March 14.00-16.00

(no booking requirements, please just turn up on the day, the room is plenty big!)

Venue: Mast House Building, University of Plymouth, Plymouth

SD Heathcare Network Event – Plymouth Directions

Presentation summaries:

THE ROLE OF SYSTEM DYNAMICS IN MODELLING FOR HEALTH AND SOCIAL CARE : Martin Pitt : Associate Professor of Healthcare Modelling and Simulation

Director of PenCHORD (Peninsula Collaboration for Health Operational Research & Development) NIHR CLAHRC South West Peninsula (PenCLAHRC)

Outlining how SD both has and can be used to model health and social care as a general introduction to its application and potential in this field. The presentation will focus on how the insights from SD modelling can be usefully applied to improving service delivery and how SD sits in relation to other modelling approaches such as discrete event simulation and mathematical methods.

SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPLIED TO MENTAL HEALTHCARE PLANNING : Tim Hobbs, PhD; Director Dartington Service Design Lab

This talk will outline a case study example of the use of SD to map and plan the development of mental health services in the SW of the UK. Drawing lessons from a recently commissioned project, it will discuss the benefits and limitations of using this approach based on direct experience.

 


Networking Event; Leeds February 2017

THEME : Health in Leeds: What contribution might transport policy make?

VENUE: University of Leeds, Institute for Transport Studies, Rooms 1.11a-c

DATE:     7th February 2017

TIME:     2:30 to 5:00pm

Leeds Event Feb 2017

Event objectives:

• To provide an interdisciplinary opportunity for discussing the application of System Dynamics to a significant challenge facing our cities;

• To provide a networking opportunity for those in Leeds, and wider afield, with an interest in System Dynamics;

• To provide an opportunity for people to find out more about System Dynamics and its applications.

Outline programme:

Refreshments available 2:30pm
Context setting – the health challenges for the city of Leeds 3:00pm
Transport policy and health – what are the connections? 3:15pm
A population health system dynamics model for the City of Leeds 3:45pm
Round table discussions – making the connections 4:00pm
Facilitated plenary to capture system insights 4:30pm
Concluding remarks 4:55pm
Retire for further refreshments and networking……. 5:00pm

Admission is free, but you must register (on Eventbrite, see below) so that we know how many people to expect; and please remember to de-register should your plans change.

This event is for members of the SD society and anyone else interested in system dynamics.

Eventbrite booking page


2017 Annual Conference News and Booking

Each year the chapter organises the Annual Conference, a series of presentations from eminent practitioners and the opportunity to meet and discuss issues.  2017 will be the 19th annual conference.

THEME : 60 Years On, Still Looking Forward Seriously Modelling what Matters and Building Up the Field
VENUE: London South Bank University
DATE: Wednesday 5th April and Thursday 6th April

This is the 60th anniversary of the founding of System Dynamics by Jay Forrester, who died in November 2016, leaving behind a unique and precious legacy. Our tribute, this conference, covers contemporary examples of the classic themes he first developed:

  • World Dynamics
  • Urban Dynamics
  • Industrial Dynamics

We also cover Health Policy, which has become one of the most significant domains modelled using SD. The conference is open to all, whether or not you work in System Dynamics.

Conference page and booking


Networking Event – The Cumberland Initiative – London Wednesday 6 July 2016

THEME : The Cumberland Initiative, modelling and simulation in healthcare, and System Dynamics

VENUE:  Royal College of Nursing, Cavendish Square, LONDON

DATE:     Wednesday 6 July 2016

TIME:      16.15 – 18.00

 

The Cumberland Initiative is a unique collaboration between academics, modelling and simulation practitioners, and the healthcare sector in the UK, led by Professor Terry Young of Brunel University as:

“a movement to encourage systems thinking, simulation and modelling of healthcare scenarios to improve NHS quality of care delivery and save money.”

http://cumberland-initiative.org/

This networking event will include some input from Terry Young about the aims of the Cumberland Initiative followed by a discussion of how System Dynamic modelling and simulation can contribute to this agenda.

Admission is free, but you must register (on Eventbrite, see below) so that we know how many people to expect; and please remember to de-register should your plans change.

Tea and coffee will be available from 4.15, and we will start at 4.30, finishing no later than 6.00, when we will adjourn to a nearby bar for refreshments and food (at participants’ own expense!).

This event is for members of the SD society and anyone else interested in system dynamics or healthcare strategy.

https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/uk-system-dynamics-networking-with-the-cumberland-initiative-tickets-1129176397

 

 

 


Report on “Developing Mathematical Models in Healthcare: Special Workshop on System Dynamics”

On Wednesday 27th January 2016 a special seminar on System Dynamics applied to healthcare was held at the School of Mathematics, Cardiff University. This was part of their regular Developing Mathematical Models in Healthcare seminar series. The event brought together experts in the field to talk about a selection of System Dynamics based projects in health and social care.

The seminar opened with a short introduction to System Dynamics, demonstrating the core concepts of accumulation and feedback when modelling a complex health system.

This was followed by a presentation by Dr Siôn Cave, a consultant with Decision Analysis Services Ltd. Siôn gave a short overview of a number of projects (population behaviour, disease transmission, public health intervention and disease modelling) to reflect the variety of contexts where he has used System Dynamics. Siôn then focused on two high impact national projects (national workforce planning and Horizon 2035: modelling the future of health and social care) to highlight the value of the method.

Finally, Douglas McKelvie, a partner at The Symmetric Partnership, discussed using System Dynamics to improve strategic decision making. The presentation focused on two projects: modelling winter pressures on a healthcare system and modelling (health) service integration to examine whether (and when) the cost of an intervention will be offset by savings.

The speakers kindly agreed to make their slides available. Please find them here:

Some useful resources mentioned in the seminar:

Finally, echoing the final remarks of Professor Paul Harper at the event, please get in touch with Jo Emery (EmeryJL4@cardiff.ac.uk) if you would like further details regarding hosting an MSc project.


Developing Mathematical Models in Healthcare: Special Workshop on System Dynamics

Developing Mathematical Models in Healthcare: Special Workshop on System Dynamics

The UK Chapter is delighted to be supporting a seminar on the application of System Dynamics to challenges in the health and social care sector. The Health Modelling Centre Cymru (HMC2) is hosting the event, which will include the following presentations:

“What is System Dynamics?” – John Hayward, University of South Wales

“Health and social care workforce modelling at a national level” – Siôn Cave, Decision Analysis Services Ltd

“Health & Social Care Integration with the Cumberland Initiative” – Douglas McKelvie, The Symmetric Partnership LLP

The seminar is being held on Wednesday, 27th January 2016 at the Cardiff University School of Mathematics. This is our first event in Wales and is open to all with an interest in System Dynamics. More information available here.

We look forward to seeing you there!


UK Chapter Gathering at the Shard, December 17th

Venue
East Lecture Room, The Shard from 15:45 to 17:00 on Thursday 17th December

Douglas McKelvie
Partner
The Symmetric Partnership LLP

Using System Dynamics to Model Health and Social Care Integration Policy Based on Risk Stratification Tools

Risk Stratification tools are widely used in healthcare internationally to summarise the needs of a population and target services / interventions, often with a preventive intention, such as to reduce emergency hospital bed-use. In this example, a local authority, working with NHS partners, used modelling to explore why a case-management service based on a commonly-used tool (Patients at Risk of Rehospitalisation – PARR) appeared to have a disappointing impact. Whilst risk stratification can be viewed as an application of Big Data, focusing on Stock measurements, the insights added by System Dynamics showed the importance of understanding Flow, in the form of the underlying churn of people between risk groups. Within the context of policy-modelling, this approach can be considered to be an application of Dynamic Impact Analysis.

Followed by information about the 2016 conference.

And some regulations:

Everybody has to be registered beforehand as the reception in the ground level needs to have a list of attendees at least two days before the event. There is no chance that somebody can enter if he/she just comes without being in the list.

There will be an X-Ray machine in the ground floor reception and all visitors will need to have their coats and bags scanned.

It is important that all guests bring some form of ID.

It is important to register your attendance by clicking here by December 14th.

We will then meet in a pub nearby for a Xmas drink from around 17:00 until around 18:30.


Festival of Evidence, 20-24 October 2014

Festival of Evidence

promoting the use of modelling and simulation in healthcare.

20-24 October 2014

Runnymede Hotel, Runnymede-on-Thames, Windsor Road, Egham, Surrey TW20 0AG

Unlike Evidence Based Medicine, with decades of development and investment, care process engineering is still in its early stages. This might be surprising, given the sophistication of modern medicine and the systems used elsewhere in the economy. However, even the concept of evidence varies, quite apart from having agreed standards to integrate outcomes and operational measures, financial analyses and indicators of patient satisfaction. Thus, using evidence reproducibly to deliver higher quality care with greater efficiency at scale remains a major challenge. Moreover, the literature is fragmented with various ways of presenting different types of evidence, spread across journals, websites, Annual Reports, guidance documentation and held in people’s memories.

This is an opportunity to identify what evidence there is, how it is being generated, and what should be done to make it more systematic.

More Details


CfWI use system dynamics to inform a strategic review of the future dentistry workforce

The Centre for Workforce Intelligence is the national authority on workforce planning and development, providing advice and information to the health and social care system. The CfWI was commissioned by Health Education England (HEE) and the Department of Health (DH) to forecast and analyse the future supply of and demand for the English dental workforce between 2012 and 2040. The report will support HEE, DH and the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills (BIS) in policy decision-making to secure the dental workforce of the future and specifically the number of students required. System dynamics was used to support the strategic analysis. The final report is available here.


The NIHR has just published an introduction to system dynamics targeted at the social care sector

The National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) School for Social Care Research has just published an introduction to system dynamics targeted at the social care sector. The report also has a more general interest as a practical introduction to system dynamics concepts, and how they can be applied across a range of human services. The NIHR is a large, multi-faceted and nationally distributed organisation, funded through the (England) Department of Health to improve the health and wealth of the nation through research. The report’s author, Douglas McKelvie of Symmetric LLP, has worked in social work, social work education, workforce regulation and development. For the past 11 years Douglas has specialised in applying system dynamics modelling and simulation across the health and social care sector.

Link to article

Link to NIHR press release


Join the UK Chapter

I agree to receiving occasional emails from the UK Chapter of the SD Society.

Skip to toolbar