Strategy Dynamics have announced the new self-taught, online course “Learn Dynamic Business Modeling”: http://sdl.re/courses. The course comes in two parts with 17+ hours of instruction, follow-me demos and many models to keep, covering a wide range of business types and issues. Try the free http://sdl.re/modeling-getting-started/ classes first. Instructors are welcome to use these online courses with students, so class time is free for modelling real-world cases. Any questions on this or other topics – just ask at http://sdl.re/forum.
THE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF BREXIT: A CHALLENGE FOR THE SYSTEM DYNAMICS COMMUNITY
The advent of Brexit will cause a shock to the economy which many commentators believe will be the most profound for a generation, possibly even since the Second World War. Anticipating what might transpire, without the aid of a modelling tool, seems slim. System Dynamics is well-known as a methodology for projecting dynamic behaviour in a complex system and so the challenge of modelling the economic effects of Brexit over the next ten years or so is one which the SD community should respond to. Below is an outline of such a ‘challenge’: can the SD community respond and contribute to this endeavour in strategic economic planning?
Although the financial crisis in 2008 took almost all economists by surprise, in the Brexit case we don’t have to attempt to foresee the event itself but we do need to consider the economic consequences. If the dynamics inherent to this economic shock can be modelled then the government and the Bank of England will know which trends to monitor closely and they will be placed on a footing to respond proactively rather than reactively.
This task should not be regarded as a competition but as a challenge which illustrates the utility of SD for economic modelling
THE DETAILS OF THE CHALLENGE
- Prepare and document an SD model projecting the consequences of Brexit on the UK economy; the team can consist of any number of persons
- Likely horizon is 10 years (2018-2028); model would depict the main economic variables such as GDP; inflation; interest rates; unemployment; government debt; consumer spending etc. Model can embrace fewer or more of these macro variables. It can be set at industry level, designed to address the consequences on a specific industry, if preferred.
- We have 2017 data to examine the immediate effects; most important here is the fall in the £
- Models to encompass a maximum of ~100 variables (rates; levels; aux). Parameters are extra
- Can use any SD (or indeed wider) modelling software which produces graphs covering the next 10 years
- Can submit up to TWO models (to cover any dilemmas you may have)
Make your submission to the President of the UK Chapter
There is a survey being carried out to capture attitudes of our Modelling & Simulation (M&S) community towards both Reproducibility and Open Science in simulation publishing.
There are major concerns that the results in many published peer-reviewed articles cannot be reproduced or verified independently. Some journals are changing their policies to address these issues. Open Science approaches go further in that they encourage the open sharing of scientific artefacts (e.g. data, software, methods, processes, etc.) under appropriate terms and conditions to enable reuse, redistribution and reproduction of the research and its underlying data and methods. Publishing policies in both Reproducibility and Open Science could have a major impact on how we approach M&S research in the future.
The survey consists of six sections and will take around 20-25 minutes to complete. The results will be published as both a report and a journal paper. Both will be open access.
The survey will be open until December 2018.
Access the survey at https://www.isurvey.soton.ac.uk/25864
THEME : Building resilient cities through simulation (including System Dynamics)
VENUE: THINKLab pod, University of Salford, 7th Floor Maxwell Building, The Crescent, Salford, Greater Manchester, M5 4WT
DATE: Thursday 6th July 2017
TIME: 1:30 to 5:00pm
A summer network event was held at the University of Salford, hosted by the ThinkLab and organized by the UK Chapter’s student representative, Hisham Tariq. It was titled “Resilient Cities” and attended by over 20 people. The event provided an interdisciplinary opportunity to discuss the application of SD to the significant challenges facing our cities, an opportunity for networking, and introduced SD to students and members of the faculty at Salford.
System Dynamics in Climate Change Mitigation
The UK Chapter of the System Dynamics Society held a network meeting on the theme of system dynamics in climate change mitigation. The meeting was held on December 5th, from 1pm to 5pm, at the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change.
The meeting began with four speakers: Prof Frank Boons talked on the relationship of circular economy and climate change, Dr John Broderick about his experiences in running the C-ROADS climate model, Dr Martin Reynolds from the OU about critical systems thinking and sustainability, and Dr Danial Schien presented work on modelling of the carbon footprint of digital media.
There was a short plenary in which examples of mitigation (both successful and otherwise) that are of interest to participants were identified. Groups then explored their chosen example through causal loop diagramming and other SD related methods.
Celebrating excellence in System Dynamics
CALL FOR PAPERS
The UK System Dynamics Students Colloquium will take place on the 13th April 2018 (pm) in Cardiff (day 2 of our UK Conference), featuring:
- A colloquium to support students interested in System Dynamics
- Quality advice from experts and practitioners
- A chance to interact with experts from industry and academia
- An opportunity to attend the keynote sessions and engaged presentation
The UK System Dynamics Students Colloquium is now open for Abstract Submission. A short abstract (not exceeding 300 words) is invited for presentation or poster submission. Students who wish to be considered for the student prize must evidence their work with up to 20 pages of a research paper, inclusive of references, for review by a panel of leading system dynamists. All submissions must be made on or before the deadline. We thank you for your contribution to the UK Chapter of System Dynamics Society.
The Deadline for submitting extended abstracts and posters is 10th March 2018!
For more information, please visit
or email the organisers
The System Dynamics Colloquium, previously known as the PhD colloquium will take place on the day before the System Dynamics Conference (August 6th), in Reykjavik, Iceland. The colloquium is meant to foster exchange amongst early career system dynamicists as well as exchange between them and those who are already established in the field.
We are encouraging any early stage System Dynamics members of the UK Chapter to submit their work to the colloquium this year.
We would also like to draw your attention to the fact, that this year, scholarships will be available for application, for individuals that have submitted, and had their papers approved by the colloquium. This is an effort from our part, and the Student Chapter, to encourage participation from individuals using system dynamics from all over the world, and from a variety of fields.
Please find all of the information about the System Dynamics Colloquium in this brochure:
Date & Time: Tue. 13th March 14.00-16.00
(no booking requirements, please just turn up on the day, the room is plenty big!)
Venue: Mast House Building, University of Plymouth, Plymouth
SD Heathcare Network Event – Plymouth Directions
THE ROLE OF SYSTEM DYNAMICS IN MODELLING FOR HEALTH AND SOCIAL CARE : Martin Pitt : Associate Professor of Healthcare Modelling and Simulation
Director of PenCHORD (Peninsula Collaboration for Health Operational Research & Development) NIHR CLAHRC South West Peninsula (PenCLAHRC)
Outlining how SD both has and can be used to model health and social care as a general introduction to its application and potential in this field. The presentation will focus on how the insights from SD modelling can be usefully applied to improving service delivery and how SD sits in relation to other modelling approaches such as discrete event simulation and mathematical methods.
SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPLIED TO MENTAL HEALTHCARE PLANNING : Tim Hobbs, PhD; Director Dartington Service Design Lab
This talk will outline a case study example of the use of SD to map and plan the development of mental health services in the SW of the UK. Drawing lessons from a recently commissioned project, it will discuss the benefits and limitations of using this approach based on direct experience.
The Operational Research Society is running a Simulation Workshop (SW18) on 19th to 21st March 2018 at the Ettington Chase Hotel, near Stratford. More information on the event at www.theorsociety.com/SW18
It is still possible to submit posters for the event, which offers a platform to show off the incredible SD work that you are involved with. (Plus there is a prize for best poster!). If you would like to submit a poster, then you need to submit a 150 word poster abstract to the Poster Stream, here – https://easychair.org/conferences/?conf=sw18 by the deadline of 8th January 2018.
This is open to all delegates i.e. from practice, simulation software development and research. Posters could contain:
- An overview of a simulation case study either complete or in progress;
- An overview of a simulation research project either complete or in progress;
- A description of an important issue in simulation research or practice;
- A description of a new way to visualise simulation results;
- An overview of a piece of simulation software;
- Insights from practice about how to successfully run simulation studies;
- Links between simulation and analytics;
- Links between simulation and behavioural OR
Are you a PhD student interested in System Dynamics, undertaking research with a strong mathematical content?
The National Taught Course Centre in Operational Research (NATCOR), will be holding a 2 ½ day System Dynamics course at University of Warwick from July 2nd to July 4th 2018.
NATCOR provides UK-based taught courses for PhD students and early career researchers working in Operational Research (OR) and related areas, such as statistics, applied probability, quantitative finance, industrial engineering and computer science.
Further details about NATCOR and the courses they provide can be found at www.NATCOR.ac.uk.