Winter Newsletter 2020

Category : Conference , News , Recent

SD UK Chapter Conference 2-3 April 2020

The UK chapter conference is on 2-3 April 2020 (Thursday & Friday) at Strathclyde University Glasgow. Early bird bookings are still available until February 29th. After that the conference price increases.  Book now to get the best rates.

Check out our exciting programme of talks and workshops by system dynamics practitioners at the forefront of the field:  Website Conference Page.

Students

On the Friday of the conference there is the Student Colloquium. Submissions are invited from students for the: 
student poster session 
student colloquium presentations 
student prize.
Submission Deadline: 6th March 2020.

Posters

Posters are also invited from non-students
Poster session
Submission Deadline: 6th March 2020.

Technology and Innovation Centre

Book Launch, Edinburgh 12 Feb 2020

Eric Wolstenholme and Douglas McKelvie invite you to the launch of their new book, “The Dynamics of Care” (published by Springer, 2019). Please join them from just after 5.00pm on Wednesday 12 February at The Melting Pot, 4th Floor for 5.30 start. Read more here…  Also, read about their workshop: The Courage to Hold Unconventional Opinions at the same venue at 2pm.


Policy Council Vacancies

The policy council is responsible for the day-to-day running of the UK Chapter of the System Dynamics Society, our conference, networking events and the promotion of the system dynamics methodology in the United Kingdom. We currently have two vacancies for policy council members. Could this be for you? Do you feel you could help us fulfil the aims of the System Dynamics Society in the UK? 

Policy council members are volunteers, with a wide range of backgrounds in industry, consultancy, public service and academia. You do not need to be an expert practitioner. We have council members with different levels of experience and different approaches to the methodology.

If interested, please contact us on info@systemdynamics.org.uk for more information.


Book Launch: The Dynamics of Care – Understanding People Flows in Health and Social Care

Category : Events , News , Recent

Edinburgh, 12/2/2020, 5.00 for 5.30pm

Authors: Eric Wolstenholme & Douglas McKelvie

Venue: The Melting Pot, 4th Floor, Thorn House, 5 Rose Street, EDINBURGH EH2 2PR .

Date & Time: Wednesday 12 February 2020, 5.00 for 5.30pm

Book Launch Invitation

Eric Wolstenholme and Douglas McKelvie invite you to the launch of their new book, “The Dynamics of Care” (published by Springer, 2019). Please join us from just after 5.00 on Wednesday 12 February at The Melting Pot, 4th Floor. We will start with some refreshments then, shortly after 5.30, Eric and Douglas will be joined by Donald Scott to introduce some themes from the book, with time for discussion. The formalities should be over by 6.30, and you are welcome to stay until 7.00. Copies of the book will be on sale and we will be happy to sign these, or bring any copies you have already purchased and we will sign these too!

To register for the book launch, please use our contact form.


Workshop Invitation

From 2.00 at the same venue, Eric, Douglas and Donny Scott are organising a free workshop as part of the Scottish Government’s Firestarter Festival. The workshop is entitled The Courage to Hold Unconventional Opinions and will include the opportunity for participants to have a hands-on experience of working with some computer models. The target audience for this event is people with little background in building models and places are limited  – this is not an event for expert modellers!

Further details of workshop (including how to register)


More about Eric’s and Douglas’ Book

The book is a compendium of insights, distilled from numerous projects, to shed light on some of the most persistent issues of the day in health and social care. The work demonstrates the importance of embedding the concept of flow into everyday health and social care thinking and creates insights into people’s journeys through different conditions and treatments. It suggests that improving throughput across agencies is the way to improving the performance of health treatment, whereas increasing capacity is the key to improving the performance of social care by retaining independent living. Of course, by increasing social care capacity, we unblock and unlock bottlenecks in the health care system. We need to explore that interconnection, and system dynamics simulation is our contribution.

We argue that balancing health and social care provision can eliminate the many stressful strategies hospitals have to undertake when faced with high demands, and this is a win-win scenario in terms of patients, staff and costs.

Moreover, we show there is a need for better understanding of the dynamics of population ageing, the dynamics of health conditions, workforce planning, and the provision of better, integrated information systems. The book is intended to be a valuable resource for practitioners, clinicians, managers and academics in health, social work, public health and public policy in many countries.

Douglas adds: Eric, one of the founders of System Dynamics in the UK with an international reputation, is my mentor and friend. I learned how to think systemically and build models by working as his apprentice. I am delighted that my Scotland-based friends and collaborators will have the opportunity to meet him and benefit from his insights.

For more information, follow the link to Springer.


What people have said about the book

“A recent report in the British Medical Journal (Global Health) addressed the issue of health system modelling research, emphasising that models should capture the dynamic interactions between the main health system components and acknowledge constraints. This new book by Eric Wolstenholme and Douglas McKelvie describes a methodology (system dynamics) which eminently satisfies that call. Through a number of examples distilled from their extensive consultancy roles in health and social care, they urge a move away from considering specific departments, to a consideration of coupled health systems which transcend organisational boundaries, where inter-connections, inter-dependencies, flows and stocks become the new perspective instead. Those involved in planning for improved service delivery in health and social care can now learn how to rehearse their ideas in silico by deploying simulations which capture the nuances of health systems and can leverage counter-intuitive policy responses.” (Brian Dangerfield, School of Management, University of Bristol, UK)

“Wolstenholme and McKelvie bring two lifetimes of award-winning experience in applying system dynamics to the creation of this new book. In spite of amazing advances in all areas of medical science our medical system as a whole is facing multiple crises. These problems arise from how components of care are organized into a coherent overall system of care. Focused on flows and throughput as key analytic concepts, this new book condenses and focuses insights from over 80 empirical studies within a coherent analytical frame.  All of us interested in and concerned about the cost and quality of maintaining a health population need to read and come to grips with the points that they are making in this important new book.” (David F. Andersen, O’Leary Distinguished Service Professor, Emeritus, Nelson A. Rockefeller College of Public Affairs and Policy, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York)

“This very welcome book offers the hope of sound and sustainable solutions to persistent and serious problems that not only cause untold misery to millions but also impose considerable costs in many societies. The exceptional work illustrates that it is now feasible to simulate most management and policy challenges we face. These working, quantified simulations are powerful because they mimic the observable behaviour of the systems we want to better-manage. They allow us to experiment, boldly and at trivial cost, with software facsimiles of the real world, rather than on the real world itself. This potential is now recognised in the UK Government report “Computational modelling: Blackett review”, which makes clear that every executive, advisor and policy-maker, in every field of endeavour, should understand what such simulations can do and know how to implement and exploit them.” (Kim Warren, Managing Director Strategy Dynamics, London, UK)

“Since its inception, the NHS has become one of the great unchanging features of the British landscape. The flip side of such permanence is its inability to move with the times and the great frustration of successive governments has been its imperviousness to change in the way that revolutionised air travel or manufacturing. In this timely book, Eric and Douglas peel back the mystique around care delivery. They introduce two key concepts, feedback and flow, and show why any attempt to modernise delivery will fail without carefully responding to these underlying principles. The strength of this book is in the weight of examples culled over many years and explained in the light of two lifetimes of practical experience.” (Terry Young, Professor Emeritus of Health Care Systems, Brunel University, London and Director, Datchet Consulting)


UK System Dynamics Conference 2020

Category : Conference , Recent

The next UK chapter conference is on 2-3 April 2020 (Thursday & Friday) and will take place in Glasgow at Strathclyde University. A great conference programme is coming together, with talks and workshops by SD practitioners at the forefront of the field. Check out the updates at our website conference page.

You may book for the whole conference, or just one day. Special rates for students and the retired. There is an option of the conference meal on Thursday evening.

Early bird booking available until the end of January. Book now to get the best rates.

Technology and Innovation Centre, Strathclyde University

Poster Session

Do you have work you could submit for the Friday poster session?

Poster submissions are now open

Submission Deadline: 6th March 2020.


Students

On the Friday of the conference there is the Student Colloquium. Submissions are invited from students for the: 
poster session 
student colloquium presentations 
student prize.

Submission Deadline: 6th March 2020.

You may submit the same work to more than one category.


Getting Started with System Dynamics

On Thursday morning, before the start of the main conference, there is an introductory course in system dynamics by leading practitioner Kim Warren.

Book with the conference.


Glasgow

New Book: “The Dynamics of Care – Understanding People Flows in Health and Social Care”

Category : News , Recent

Members Eric Wolstenholme and Douglas McKelvie have published a new book: “The Dynamics of Care – Understanding People Flows in Health and Social Care”, with a foreword from Jack Homer.  (https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-030-21878-2)

As the title suggests, the book is dedicated to practical system dynamics work in one field – health and social care. It describes the core stock/flow and feedback structures used to represent treatments and conditions and narrates a selection of consultancy projects from over 80 undertaken by the authors over recent years. Emphasis is placed on the insights generated into some of the most persistent issues of the day in this field.


SD meets SD: System Dynamics and Service Design in Public Services 7-8 Nov 2019 – UPDATE

Category : Uncategorized

System Dynamics Networking Event, Belfast, 7-8 November 2019

As part of Belfast Design Week, the UK System Dynamics Chapter is getting together with colleagues who work in Service Design to discover what we have in common and learn from each other’s approaches.

The event will be in two parts. In late afternoon of 7 November there will be presentations covering System Dynamics, Service Design and Public Service Reform followed by discussion and networking, accompanied / followed by food and drink (not necessarily in that order). On the morning of 8 November, there will be a workshop session which will involve mixed groups of System Dynamics and Service Design practitioners, along with anyone else interested in public service, to discover in more depth ‘how would you begin to tackle this problem?’

For further details see:
Belfast Design Week
Venue and Time
Eventbrite Booking
with Big Motive and SDNIreland

This event has been cleverly designed to finish on a Friday, creating a good opportunity to visit Belfast and beyond.


Poster Submission Now Open For SW20

Category : News , Recent

Posters can now be submitted for the Operational Research Society’s Simulation Workshop. The event is being held at Loughbough University on 30 March – 1 April 2020. See the SW20 website for further information.

Submit your poster title and abstract by 12 January 2020. See submission instructions and guidelines on poster setup. A prize will be awarded to the author with the best pitch and poster.

For further information on poster submission, please contact Lucy Morgan: l.e.morgan@lancaster.ac.uk

SW20 website: www.theorsociety.com/sw20


Strategic Modelling to Support Decision Making for the North – MORE TICKETS!

Category : Networking , News

More tickets now available for our “Strategic Modelling to Support Decision Making for the North” which is being on 22nd October as we have secured a bigger venue! This is a joint event with THINKlab at the University of Salford, Manchester. More information is available here:

Strategic Modelling to Support Decision Making for the North, 22 Oct 2019


Call for Journal Articles: Construction Innovation

Category : Papers , Recent

You are invited to submit contributions to a special issue of Construction Innovation entitled “Hybrid Simulation in Construction”. The main aim of this special issue of Construction Innovation is to devote significant attention to publishing the latest developments and findings on hybrid simulation that integrates two or more simulation methods to address highly dynamic and complex systems and its applications in construction. Submission Deadline is 31 March 2020.

For further information, please see the link to the webpage:

https://www.emeraldgrouppublishing.com/products/journals/call_for_papers.htm?id=8732

We look forward to your submissions.

Best wishes,

Guest Editors:

Farnad Nasirzadeh
Deakin University, Australia
farnad.nasirzadeh@deakin.edu.au

Susan Howick
University of Strathclyde, UK
susan.howick@strath.ac.uk

SangHyun Lee
University of Michigan, USA
shdpm@umich.edu


Job Opportunity: Research Fellow in Energy Transitions, UCL, London

Job title

Research Fellow in Energy Transitions, – Ref:1827936

Duties and Responsibilities

To build, critique and apply system dynamics energy models, and other approaches that can be used in socio-technical energy transitions (STET) modelling.

To complete key tasks and outcomes in the O-STET,NAVIGATE, EnergyRev and UKERC projects, including publishing and disseminating findings.

To be a core member of the energy systems theme of the UCL Energy Institute Location: Central House, 14 Upper Woburn Place, London WC1H 0NN.

The post is for 24 months in the first instance, further funding to support the post may be available. We would expect the successful candidate to develop their career and contribute to further research proposals in this area.

Required Skills:

A PhD in a quantitative discipline in behavioural science, economics, business studies, engineering, or another quantitative field of the social or physical sciences          

Evidence of experience in system dynamics modelling. Ideally this would be applied to electricity and energy systems analysis, but experience in other policy fields is also of interest.

Experience in data analysis, relevant programming languages, and software. Ideally this would include VENSIM as a key analytical environment.

Ability to work harmoniously with colleagues and students of all cultures and backgrounds

Ability to communicate clearly both orally and in writing, with students, academic and administrative staff at all levels        

An ability to engage in stakeholder debates and to integrate observed behaviour into research, teaching and enterprise activity

Ability to communicate to key stakeholders in government, industry and wider society

Commitment to UCL’s policy for equal opportunity

Location:

Central London

Salary range:

Grade 7, £35,965  – £43,470

URL to host organization:

https://www.ucl.ac.uk/bartlett/energy/news/2019/sep/energy-institute-hiring-research-fellow-energy-transitions


Strategic Modelling to Support Decision Making for the North, 22 Oct 2019

Category : Networking , News

UK Chapter of the International System Dynamics Society and THINKLab, University of Salford, Manchester

Tuesday 22nd October 2019, 15:00 to 17:30 (followed by informal networking), University of Salford, Manchester

In a complex world making good decisions is difficult. Creating models, whether qualitative or quantitative, improves our understanding of complex situations enabling us to make better informed decisions. Systems Thinking (ST) and System Dynamics (SD) approaches can be used for qualitative and quantitative modelling. For example, SD can be used to map the cause and effect relationships that drive performance and then project their behaviour over time using computer simulation. The presentations at this event will describe instances where ST and SD based approaches have, and are, being used in the North.

Presentations

A polycentric pan-Northern economy – modelling economic transformation through transport connections

Jack Snape (Transport for the North)

There is a growing consensus on the need to re-balance the economy away from London and the South East to other parts of the country, including the North of England. Key policy levers available to drive this re-balancing include skills, local industrial strategy and transport investment. Under the banner of the Northern Powerhouse, the Government and Northern leaders established Transport for the North, a new statutory body. TfN’s role is to make the case for transformational transport investment that would enable the North to function as a single economic area. By pooling the economies of the North’s major towns and cities, labour markets and trade networks would be expanded to a level that could begin to compete with London. Traditional incremental economic models and appraisal methods do not capture the non-marginal market failures that have developed over decades of poor connectivity between the North’s cities. TfN is developing dynamic systems-based modelling tools and a mission-oriented appraisal framework that begin to address these issues, as well as interactions with the wider policy landscape including skills and planning policy. These radical new tools and approaches have applications beyond transport investment business cases and could help strengthen analytical capability in a wide range of public bodies.

Applying System Dynamics to support strategic decision making within the Nuclear Sector

Siôn Cave (President of the UK Chapter / Decision Analysis Service Ltd)

The Nuclear sector is a key economic driver for the North of England. Siôn will describes some examples where system dynamics has been applied to support strategic decision making in the nuclear sector, including workforce modelling and the management of radioactive waste. He will discuss how the stages of the system dynamics modelling approach were utilised to support robust policy analysis.

Whaley Bridge Dam Emergency: How SD can help Decision Makers understand Evacuation Behaviour

Hisham Tariq, THINKLab

Public Sector Integration – Understanding and monitoring complex pathways

Leo Wall, Kasia Noone, Paul Holme (Manchester City Council)

This presentation will cover the approach to research and evaluation of integrated health and social care service in Manchester. This will include the approach to evaluating new models of integrated care, mapping activity and financial flows, segmenting the population based on past and likely future need to high intensity services and forecasting future demand within the health and social care system.  The presentation will cover the approaches taken in Manchester and how the findings are developing understanding and being fed into commissioning and service delivery decisions.

Provisional Timetable

  • 15:00 Registration
  • 15:20 Introduction
  • 15:30 to 17:30 Presentations
  • 17:30 to 19:00 Informal networking

Tickets

Tickets for the event are limited and available from https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/system-dynamics-network-meeting-at-thinklab-tickets-73545589839



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