Category Archives: Recent

Book Launch: The Dynamics of Care – Understanding People Flows in Health and Social Care

Category : Events , News , Recent

Edinburgh, 12/2/2020, 5.00 for 5.30pm

Authors: Eric Wolstenholme & Douglas McKelvie

Venue: The Melting Pot, 4th Floor, Thorn House, 5 Rose Street, EDINBURGH EH2 2PR .

Date & Time: Wednesday 12 February 2020, 5.00 for 5.30pm

Book Launch Invitation

Eric Wolstenholme and Douglas McKelvie invite you to the launch of their new book, “The Dynamics of Care” (published by Springer, 2019). Please join us from just after 5.00 on Wednesday 12 February at The Melting Pot, 4th Floor. We will start with some refreshments then, shortly after 5.30, Eric and Douglas will be joined by Donald Scott to introduce some themes from the book, with time for discussion. The formalities should be over by 6.30, and you are welcome to stay until 7.00. Copies of the book will be on sale and we will be happy to sign these, or bring any copies you have already purchased and we will sign these too!

To register for the book launch, email Douglas McKelvie: douglas@symmetriclab.com


Workshop Invitation

From 2.00 at the same venue, Eric, Douglas and Donny Scott are organising a free workshop as part of the Scottish Government’s Firestarter Festival. The workshop is entitled The Courage to Hold Unconventional Opinions and will include the opportunity for participants to have a hands-on experience of working with some computer models. The target audience for this event is people with little background in building models and places are limited  – this is not an event for expert modellers!

Further details of workshop (including how to register)


More about Eric’s and Douglas’ Book

The book is a compendium of insights, distilled from numerous projects, to shed light on some of the most persistent issues of the day in health and social care. The work demonstrates the importance of embedding the concept of flow into everyday health and social care thinking and creates insights into people’s journeys through different conditions and treatments. It suggests that improving throughput across agencies is the way to improving the performance of health treatment, whereas increasing capacity is the key to improving the performance of social care by retaining independent living. Of course, by increasing social care capacity, we unblock and unlock bottlenecks in the health care system. We need to explore that interconnection, and system dynamics simulation is our contribution.

We argue that balancing health and social care provision can eliminate the many stressful strategies hospitals have to undertake when faced with high demands, and this is a win-win scenario in terms of patients, staff and costs.

Moreover, we show there is a need for better understanding of the dynamics of population ageing, the dynamics of health conditions, workforce planning, and the provision of better, integrated information systems. The book is intended to be a valuable resource for practitioners, clinicians, managers and academics in health, social work, public health and public policy in many countries.

Douglas adds: Eric, one of the founders of System Dynamics in the UK with an international reputation, is my mentor and friend. I learned how to think systemically and build models by working as his apprentice. I am delighted that my Scotland-based friends and collaborators will have the opportunity to meet him and benefit from his insights.

For more information, follow the link to Springer.


What people have said about the book

“A recent report in the British Medical Journal (Global Health) addressed the issue of health system modelling research, emphasising that models should capture the dynamic interactions between the main health system components and acknowledge constraints. This new book by Eric Wolstenholme and Douglas McKelvie describes a methodology (system dynamics) which eminently satisfies that call. Through a number of examples distilled from their extensive consultancy roles in health and social care, they urge a move away from considering specific departments, to a consideration of coupled health systems which transcend organisational boundaries, where inter-connections, inter-dependencies, flows and stocks become the new perspective instead. Those involved in planning for improved service delivery in health and social care can now learn how to rehearse their ideas in silico by deploying simulations which capture the nuances of health systems and can leverage counter-intuitive policy responses.” (Brian Dangerfield, School of Management, University of Bristol, UK)

“Wolstenholme and McKelvie bring two lifetimes of award-winning experience in applying system dynamics to the creation of this new book. In spite of amazing advances in all areas of medical science our medical system as a whole is facing multiple crises. These problems arise from how components of care are organized into a coherent overall system of care. Focused on flows and throughput as key analytic concepts, this new book condenses and focuses insights from over 80 empirical studies within a coherent analytical frame.  All of us interested in and concerned about the cost and quality of maintaining a health population need to read and come to grips with the points that they are making in this important new book.” (David F. Andersen, O’Leary Distinguished Service Professor, Emeritus, Nelson A. Rockefeller College of Public Affairs and Policy, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York)

“This very welcome book offers the hope of sound and sustainable solutions to persistent and serious problems that not only cause untold misery to millions but also impose considerable costs in many societies. The exceptional work illustrates that it is now feasible to simulate most management and policy challenges we face. These working, quantified simulations are powerful because they mimic the observable behaviour of the systems we want to better-manage. They allow us to experiment, boldly and at trivial cost, with software facsimiles of the real world, rather than on the real world itself. This potential is now recognised in the UK Government report “Computational modelling: Blackett review”, which makes clear that every executive, advisor and policy-maker, in every field of endeavour, should understand what such simulations can do and know how to implement and exploit them.” (Kim Warren, Managing Director Strategy Dynamics, London, UK)

“Since its inception, the NHS has become one of the great unchanging features of the British landscape. The flip side of such permanence is its inability to move with the times and the great frustration of successive governments has been its imperviousness to change in the way that revolutionised air travel or manufacturing. In this timely book, Eric and Douglas peel back the mystique around care delivery. They introduce two key concepts, feedback and flow, and show why any attempt to modernise delivery will fail without carefully responding to these underlying principles. The strength of this book is in the weight of examples culled over many years and explained in the light of two lifetimes of practical experience.” (Terry Young, Professor Emeritus of Health Care Systems, Brunel University, London and Director, Datchet Consulting)


UK System Dynamics Conference 2020

Category : Conference , Recent

The next UK chapter conference is on 2-3 April 2020 (Thursday & Friday) and will take place in Glasgow at Strathclyde University. A great conference programme is coming together, with talks and workshops by SD practitioners at the forefront of the field. Check out the updates at our website conference page.

You may book for the whole conference, or just one day. Special rates for students and the retired. There is an option of the conference meal on Thursday evening.

Early bird booking available until the end of January. Book now to get the best rates.

Technology and Innovation Centre, Strathclyde University

Poster Session

Do you have work you could submit for the Friday poster session?

Poster submissions are now open

Submission Deadline: 6th March 2020.


Students

On the Friday of the conference there is the Student Colloquium. Submissions are invited from students for the: 
poster session 
student colloquium presentations 
student prize.

Submission Deadline: 6th March 2020.

You may submit the same work to more than one category.


Getting Started with System Dynamics

On Thursday morning, before the start of the main conference, there is an introductory course in system dynamics by leading practitioner Kim Warren.

Book with the conference.


Glasgow

New Book: “The Dynamics of Care – Understanding People Flows in Health and Social Care”

Category : News , Recent

Members Eric Wolstenholme and Douglas McKelvie have published a new book: “The Dynamics of Care – Understanding People Flows in Health and Social Care”, with a foreword from Jack Homer.  (https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-030-21878-2)

As the title suggests, the book is dedicated to practical system dynamics work in one field – health and social care. It describes the core stock/flow and feedback structures used to represent treatments and conditions and narrates a selection of consultancy projects from over 80 undertaken by the authors over recent years. Emphasis is placed on the insights generated into some of the most persistent issues of the day in this field.


Poster Submission Now Open For SW20

Category : News , Recent

Posters can now be submitted for the Operational Research Society’s Simulation Workshop. The event is being held at Loughbough University on 30 March – 1 April 2020. See the SW20 website for further information.

Submit your poster title and abstract by 12 January 2020. See submission instructions and guidelines on poster setup. A prize will be awarded to the author with the best pitch and poster.

For further information on poster submission, please contact Lucy Morgan: l.e.morgan@lancaster.ac.uk

SW20 website: www.theorsociety.com/sw20


Call for Journal Articles: Construction Innovation

Category : Papers , Recent

You are invited to submit contributions to a special issue of Construction Innovation entitled “Hybrid Simulation in Construction”. The main aim of this special issue of Construction Innovation is to devote significant attention to publishing the latest developments and findings on hybrid simulation that integrates two or more simulation methods to address highly dynamic and complex systems and its applications in construction. Submission Deadline is 31 March 2020.

For further information, please see the link to the webpage:

https://www.emeraldgrouppublishing.com/products/journals/call_for_papers.htm?id=8732

We look forward to your submissions.

Best wishes,

Guest Editors:

Farnad Nasirzadeh
Deakin University, Australia
farnad.nasirzadeh@deakin.edu.au

Susan Howick
University of Strathclyde, UK
susan.howick@strath.ac.uk

SangHyun Lee
University of Michigan, USA
shdpm@umich.edu


SD meets SD: System Dynamics and Service Design in Public Services 7-8 Nov 2019

Category : Networking , News , Recent , Uncategorized

System Dynamics Networking Event, Belfast, 7-8 November 2019

As part of Belfast Design Week, the UK System Dynamics Chapter is getting together with colleagues who work in Service Design to discover what we have in common and learn from each other’s approaches.

The event will be in two parts. In late afternoon of 7 November there will be presentations covering System Dynamics, Service Design and Public Service Reform followed by discussion and networking, accompanied / followed by food and drink (not necessarily in that order). On the morning of 8 November, there will be a workshop session which will involve mixed groups of System Dynamics and Service Design practitioners, along with anyone else interested in public service, to discover in more depth ‘how would you begin to tackle this problem?’

For further details see:
Belfast Design Week
Venue and Time
Eventbrite Booking
with Big Motive and SDNIreland

This event has been cleverly designed to finish on a Friday, creating a good opportunity to visit Belfast and beyond.


Korean System Dynamics Society Celebrates 20th Anniversary

Category : News , Recent

This year marks the 20th anniversary of Korean System Dynamics Society. This significant anniversary was commemorated at the 2019 Korean Summer Conference which was held in Seoul on 31st August. The theme of the conference was “Resilience and Sustainability in Korea”. Dr Chang-Kwon Chung, the current president of the Korean Chapter, chaired the conference which included a packed agenda of insightful presentations covering topics such as demographic change and environmentally sensitive regeneration in Korea.  Dr Siôn Cave, current president of the UK Chapter, was delighted to attend the conference and celebrate this anniversary with the Korean Chapter.

Slides for Dr Cave’s presentation.

Further information on the Korean Chapter, see their website.


2020 UK Chapter Conference Early-bird Booking

Category : Conference , Recent

Early-bird booking is now open for the 2020 annual conference of the UK Chapter of the System Dynamics Society. The conference takes place at Glasgow in Strathclyde University.

VENUE: Technology and Innovation Centre, Strathclyde University
ADDRESS: 99 George Street, Glasgow, G1 1RD
DATE: 2nd / 3rd April 2020

Book Now at EventBrite

Further information and updates will be posted on the conference page.

Glasgow

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